Bhramar Mukherjee, Ann Arbor, Michigan
In December 2019, a villager in Wuhan got infected by a novel coronavirus most likely originating from a bat. From that singleton 1 to 47 million reported cases in ten months [Microsft Bing COVID tracker, November 2, 2020], uncountably many silent/unreported infections, with a death toll of nearly 1.2 million worldwide, and still no end in sight, the past eight months have been a failure of our collective social imagination. The fragility of our advanced civilization has stunned all of us. …
A list of contributors to this piece is provided at the end of this report. For detailed analytic formulation and code, please click here for the technical preprint [direct download link, please check downloads folder].
Almost one in four people in Delhi had been infected by the novel coronavirus by July 10 according to a serological survey conducted by the National Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) [The Hindu; Indian Express 1; Indian Express 2]. The survey found that 22.86% of the 21,387 serology samples collected across 11 districts of Delhi had detected IgG antibodies against SARS-CoV-2. This implies that Delhi…
The Dilemma: Humanity is facing a defining crisis, fighting against an invisible enemy with every resource in our intellectual, socio-political and emotional toolkit. Unfortunately, a dynamic has developed in this conversation which undermines our common goal. The fields of Public Health and Economics often find themselves pitted against one another, with experts and non-experts engaged in vigorous debates over the relative importance of health and economics. Such partisanship is misplaced. We all wish to minimize human suffering and promote well-being. We need to save lives and save livelihoods. An omnibus solution derived in a complex-systems, cost-benefit framework is needed. …
This article completes a three part series on the novel corona virus outbreak in India. You can read the first part (pre-lockdown) here and the second part (studying lockdown) here. You can also access a related pre-print here. All data source, code and interactive plots are available at covind19.org.
India, a democracy of 1.34 billion people has been aggressive in adopting strong public health intervention measures including sealing its borders, introducing mandatory social distancing including a lockdown early in the course of the COVID-19 epidemic. India crossed 100 cases on March 14 (2 deaths) and crossed 10,000 cases on April…
This article is the second one of a three part series on the novel corona virus outbreak in India. You can read the first part (pre-lockdown) here and the final part (unlocking the lockdown) here. You can also access a related pre-print here. All data source, code and interactive plots are available at covind19.org.
India, a democracy of 1.34 billion people has been aggressive in adOn the evening of March 24, India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced a three-week nationwide central lockdown — starting Wednesday, March 25 at midnight, to slow the spread of the novel coronavirus. This is the…
Crisis Of Virus in INDia (COV-IND)
This article is the first one of a three part series on the novel corona virus outbreak in India. You can read the second part (studying lockdown) here. You can read the third and final part (unlocking the lockdown) here. You can also access a related pre-print here. All data source, code and interactive plots are available at covind19.org.
The following summary was prepared by the COV-IND-19 Study Group, an interdisciplinary group of scholars and data scientists (authors at end). An accompanying detailed report can be downloaded here (direct download link, check downloads folder). (Article updates are listed at end).
COV-IND-19 Study Group
An interdisciplinary group of scholars and data scientists who use of data and modeling to generate timely reports and recommendations about COVID-19 in India
